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This page shows the ELO score history of the selected club - mapping their best and worst sides of all time, and their most unlikely victories and defeats based on their ELO score.
Inspired by ClubELO.com, the ELO rating system is a method of calculating and comparing the relative strengths of teams in competition. For every match played, the ELO scores of the two teams are considered, and adjusted for other factors (such as home advantage), to calculate the likelihood of the match result. When the actual result of the game is known, the ELO score is adjusted accordingly, comparing the expected outcome of the game with the actual outcome - so a victory over Manchester United will be worth more points than one over Supermarine. The resulting ELO score can be used to compare the strengths of teams over time, and to project future results based on the current form of all teams.
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MANCHESTER CITY
score history | best teams | worst teams | significant victories | significant defeats | bogey teams
A historical overview of Manchester City's ELO scores.
A list of the top 15 Manchester City sides in history, based on their ELO score.
| Year | Date Recorded | ELO Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2023 | Saturday, September 23, 2023 | 4434.36 |
| 2019 | Saturday, August 10, 2019 | 4424.05 |
| 2024 | Saturday, April 13, 2024 | 4417.69 |
| 2022 | Wednesday, November 9, 2022 | 4414.72 |
| 2018 | Tuesday, December 4, 2018 | 4409.94 |
| 2021 | Tuesday, March 2, 2021 | 4403.43 |
| 2020 | Sunday, January 12, 2020 | 4385.75 |
| 2017 | Wednesday, December 27, 2017 | 4345.90 |
| 2014 | Monday, August 25, 2014 | 4331.90 |
| 2015 | Sunday, January 4, 2015 | 4320.68 |
| 2011 | Saturday, December 3, 2011 | 4294.53 |
| 2013 | Saturday, January 26, 2013 | 4290.66 |
| 2012 | Wednesday, November 28, 2012 | 4283.55 |
| 2016 | Tuesday, February 2, 2016 | 4244.77 |
| 1904 | Monday, March 21, 1904 | 4178.35 |
A list of the worst 15 Manchester City sides in history, based on their ELO score.
| Year | Date Recorded | ELO Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1894 | Monday, October 1, 1894 | 3635.81 |
| 1893 | Saturday, September 30, 1893 | 3653.26 |
| 1895 | Saturday, January 5, 1895 | 3659.72 |
| 1998 | Saturday, December 19, 1998 | 3730.92 |
| 1892 | Saturday, September 3, 1892 | 3745.25 |
| 1999 | Saturday, January 9, 1999 | 3745.27 |
| 1965 | Saturday, April 17, 1965 | 3765.57 |
| 1996 | Saturday, December 28, 1996 | 3766.78 |
| 1997 | Saturday, January 11, 1997 | 3768.57 |
| 1897 | Saturday, February 6, 1897 | 3788.98 |
| 1964 | Saturday, September 26, 1964 | 3792.66 |
| 1896 | Saturday, December 26, 1896 | 3794.05 |
| 1988 | Saturday, September 3, 1988 | 3810.54 |
| 1984 | Tuesday, September 4, 1984 | 3814.77 |
| 1898 | Saturday, September 24, 1898 | 3819.87 |
A listing of the 20 most significant victories in Manchester City's history, based on the ELO points difference between the two teams.
| Match | Diff. | Win/Draw Exp % |
Score | ELO Score Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Notts County (3976) vs. Manchester City (3652) Saturday, October 13, 1894 |
-456.8 | 6.7% | 1-3 | +28.0 |
| Manchester City (3841) vs. Tottenham Hotspur (4152) Saturday, May 11, 1963 |
-206.3 | 23.4% | 1-0 | +15.3 |
| Manchester City (3985) vs. Manchester United (4270) Sunday, August 19, 2007 |
-236.1 | 20.4% | 1-0 | +15.9 |
| Manchester City (3892) vs. Liverpool (4173) Thursday, December 26, 1985 |
-191.2 | 25.0% | 1-0 | +15.0 |
| Manchester United (4303) vs. Manchester City (4024) Sunday, February 10, 2008 |
-328.8 | 13.1% | 1-2 | +17.4 |
| Manchester City (3981) vs. Manchester United (4236) Sunday, March 14, 2004 |
-195.5 | 24.5% | 4-1 | +26.4 |
| Blackburn Rovers (4154) vs. Manchester City (3904) Monday, April 17, 1995 |
-319.4 | 13.7% | 2-3 | +17.3 |
| Manchester City (4086) vs. Chelsea (4331) Saturday, December 5, 2009 |
-200.2 | 24.0% | 2-1 | +15.2 |
| Manchester City (3905) vs. Manchester United (4150) Saturday, August 30, 1952 |
-144.8 | 30.3% | 2-1 | +13.9 |
| Manchester City (3914) vs. Tottenham Hotspur (4149) Saturday, March 3, 1962 |
-130.6 | 32.0% | 6-2 | +25.5 |
| Manchester City (3897) vs. Ipswich Town (4131) Saturday, May 3, 1980 |
-130.4 | 32.1% | 2-1 | +13.6 |
| Manchester City (3846) vs. Nottingham Forest (4076) Tuesday, October 27, 1987 |
-140.6 | 30.8% | 3-0 | +24.2 |
| Manchester City (3958) vs. Arsenal (4187) Saturday, August 26, 2006 |
-177.6 | 26.5% | 1-0 | +14.7 |
| Manchester City (4020) vs. Manchester United (4246) Saturday, January 14, 2006 |
-169.8 | 27.3% | 3-1 | +21.8 |
| Sunderland (4097) vs. Manchester City (3873) Saturday, April 15, 1950 |
-318.8 | 13.8% | 1-2 | +17.2 |
| Manchester City (3839) vs. Arsenal (4063) Saturday, April 25, 1987 |
-136.6 | 31.3% | 3-0 | +24.0 |
| Tottenham Hotspur (4112) vs. Manchester City (3888) Saturday, October 6, 1951 |
-319.7 | 13.7% | 1-2 | +17.3 |
| Manchester City (3966) vs. Nottingham Forest (4188) Saturday, October 13, 1979 |
-118.8 | 33.5% | 1-0 | +13.3 |
| Manchester City (3975) vs. Arsenal (4196) Saturday, November 22, 2008 |
-174.2 | 26.8% | 3-0 | +25.6 |
| Manchester City (3861) vs. West Ham United (4081) Saturday, December 13, 1986 |
-132.7 | 31.8% | 3-1 | +20.5 |
A listing of the 20 most significant defeats in Manchester City's history, based on the ELO points difference between the two teams.
| Match | Diff. | Win/Draw Exp % |
Score | ELO Score Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wigan Athletic (3814) vs. Manchester City (4341) Monday, February 19, 2018 |
+488.1 | 94.3% | 1-0 | -14.1 |
| Halifax Town (3425) vs. Manchester City (3950) Saturday, January 5, 1980 |
+421.5 | 91.9% | 1-0 | -18.4 |
| Bury (3540) vs. Manchester City (4017) Tuesday, October 3, 1972 |
+377.0 | 89.8% | 2-0 | -26.9 |
| Lincoln City (3419) vs. Manchester City (3888) Tuesday, September 17, 1996 |
+403.5 | 91.1% | 4-1 | -15.9 |
| Manchester City (3878) vs. Lincoln City (3429) Tuesday, September 24, 1996 |
+514.4 | 95.1% | 0-1 | -9.5 |
| Norwich City (3976) vs. Manchester City (4423) Saturday, September 14, 2019 |
+407.4 | 91.3% | 3-2 | -18.3 |
| Southampton (3961) vs. Manchester City (4404) Wednesday, January 11, 2023 |
+406.1 | 91.2% | 2-0 | -27.4 |
| Manchester City (4036) vs. Charlton Athletic (3617) Saturday, January 13, 1923 |
+533.7 | 95.6% | 1-2 | -19.1 |
| Stockport County (3587) vs. Manchester City (4006) Tuesday, March 19, 2002 |
+353.1 | 88.4% | 2-1 | -17.7 |
| Wolverhampton Wanderers (4011) vs. Manchester City (4427) Saturday, September 30, 2023 |
+379.3 | 89.9% | 2-1 | -18.0 |
| Barnet (3525) vs. Manchester City (3938) Tuesday, September 20, 1994 |
+344.0 | 87.9% | 1-0 | -8.8 |
| Blackpool (3485) vs. Manchester City (3888) Saturday, January 7, 1984 |
+311.2 | 85.7% | 2-1 | -17.1 |
| Newcastle United (3973) vs. Manchester City (4371) Tuesday, January 29, 2019 |
+356.9 | 88.6% | 2-1 | -17.7 |
| Manchester City (4385) vs. Crystal Palace (3997) Saturday, December 22, 2018 |
+429.6 | 92.2% | 2-3 | -18.4 |
| Chesterfield (3571) vs. Manchester City (3955) Wednesday, September 20, 2006 |
+332.1 | 87.1% | 2-1 | -8.7 |
| Manchester City (4415) vs. Brentford (4041) Saturday, November 12, 2022 |
+411.3 | 91.4% | 1-2 | -18.3 |
| Burnley (3911) vs. Manchester City (4279) Saturday, March 14, 2015 |
+327.7 | 86.8% | 1-0 | -17.4 |
| Oldham Athletic (3658) vs. Manchester City (4025) Saturday, January 8, 2005 |
+307.1 | 85.4% | 1-0 | -8.5 |
| Manchester City (4402) vs. Leeds United (4039) Saturday, April 10, 2021 |
+403.4 | 91.1% | 1-2 | -18.2 |
| Manchester City (4413) vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers (4054) Sunday, October 6, 2019 |
+398.1 | 90.8% | 0-2 | -27.2 |
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The twenty teams that Manchester City are most successful against, based on the average ELO points won in games against them (minimum ten games played).
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The twenty teams that Manchester City are least successful against, based on the average ELO points won in games against them (minimum ten games played).
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